Ethiopia’s federal military has recaptured the main airport in Mekelle, the capital of the northern Tigray region, three sources told Reuters on Saturday, October 3. If confirmed, the move is a major setback for an opposition alliance in its stronghold. Reuters could not verify the claim, and the region’s ruling party, the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF), could not be reached for comment.
The airport is Alula Aba Nega Airport, about 10 km (6 miles) from the centre of Mekelle. It was one of three airports in Tigray that opposition forces seized when fighting began on September 23. That fighting is the most serious escalation of violence in northern Ethiopia since the 2020-2022 civil war.
What the three sources said
One source with knowledge of events in the city and a humanitarian source told Reuters that troops from the Ethiopian National Defence Forces had regained control of the airport. A third source, a Mekelle resident who asked not to be named for security reasons, confirmed that government forces took it. This resident said gunfire could be heard outside the city centre.
The resident also described scenes inside the city. Some Tigrayan Defence Force fighters were leaving their posts and heading home, the resident said, and government facilities were being looted.
A source close to the TPLF told Reuters that government troops and allied militias had encircled the city.
AFP, citing a local journalist and residents, reported that TPLF fighters and leaders were seen leaving Mekelle. The journalist told AFP that federal forces had not yet been seen inside the city. Al Jazeera reported that media access in Ethiopia is heavily restricted and that communications blackouts have limited reporting. Those limits are the context for why the accounts so far rest on anonymous sources.
How the fighting reached Mekelle
Last month, rebels announced a seven-party coalition led by the TPLF, the same group that fought federal forces in the 2020-2022 war, according to Al Jazeera. The coalition began an offensive that seized three airports in Tigray. It also engaged in fighting on the borders with the Amhara and Afar regions.
The government is now mounting a counteroffensive, Al Jazeera reported, citing the Critical Threats Project at the American Enterprise Institute. That project says federal forces are pushing into Tigrayan territory along three routes toward Mekelle. Al Jazeera’s bureau chief in Ethiopia, Mohammed Taha Tawakel, reported on Friday that forces loyal to the federal government had taken several towns and were closing in on the city.
Al Jazeera reported that fighting is also raging in the Amhara and Afar regions, so the conflict is not confined to Tigray. AFP photographed TPLF members walking along a main road in Mekelle on September 23, the first day of the fighting.
A wider regional dispute
The fighting has raised fears of a wider conflict that could draw in neighbouring countries in the Horn of Africa and the Gulf, Reuters reported. The federal government in Addis Ababa cut diplomatic ties with Eritrea this week. It accused Eritrea of backing the rebel alliance, along with Sudan and Egypt. All three countries deny the accusation. Reuters published an analysis this week on why renewed fighting in Tigray risks a regional war.
The accusation matters because of what the 2022 Pretoria peace agreement required. That deal, which ended the earlier war, obliged the TPLF to disarm. It also called for the withdrawal of Eritrean and other non-federal forces from Tigray and for humanitarian access to the region, according to Newsy Today. The accusation against Eritrea therefore touches the terms of the agreement that ended the last war.
What history suggests
Analysts told Reuters that taking Mekelle would be unlikely to end the conflict on its own. The 2020 war shows why. Federal forces captured Mekelle within the first month of that war, and the TPLF took it back seven months later.
Taking the airport is also a different step from holding the city. AFP’s local journalist reported that federal forces had not yet entered Mekelle, and the resident who spoke to Reuters heard gunfire at its edges. The resident also said looting of government facilities was already under way, which points to a security gap in the city.
What to watch next
Three things will show how far the airport’s recapture changes the fighting. The first is whether federal troops enter Mekelle itself or stay at its edge. The second is whether the TPLF confirms or denies the loss, since it had not commented when Reuters reported. The third is how Eritrea, Sudan and Egypt respond to the accusations after Ethiopia’s break with Eritrea.
Reuters said it could not verify the reports, and it and AFP are the main sources for updates. Until the government or the TPLF speaks publicly, the picture in Mekelle rests on anonymous sources.
